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Truist Championship Odds, Picks and Best Bets 2026: Xander Schauffele Finally Cashes in at Quail Hollow

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Truist Championship Odds, Picks and Best Bets 2026: Xander Schauffele Finally Cashes in at Quail Hollow
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Updated Truist Championship odds, picks, props, matchups, and round-by-round betting angles for 2026 at Quail Hollow Club.

The PGA Tour plays the sixth of its eight Signature Events this week at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, N.C. , and the 2026 Truist Championship features another strong field.

– Knocking on victory’s door with four Top 5 across his past five events while gaining true strokes across the boardand T3 in the 2023 Truist, English has my attention after also finishing T4 three weeks ago in the RBC HeritageForecasts call for Thursday morning rain and thunderstorms to lull midday and then redevelop ahead of an afternoon cold front, with Friday bringing brief cool dryness and followed by a weekend warm-up ahead of potential afternoon storms during Round 4 on SundayThis is a Signature Event without a 36-hole cut, and everyone in the 72-player field will play all four roundsruns May 7-10 at Quail Hollow Club.

Below are the latest outright betting odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week. With a pair of solo-seconds on his Quail Hollow resume, Schauffele heads back to the track dialed in throughout his bag. The perfect stylistic and statistical fit for this track, Aberg has gained true strokes across the board while carding four Top 5s across his past four events.

Enters with a solo-third and T4 in Signature Events the past two weeks and ranks fourth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green for the season. This will be the eighth trip to Quail for English, and the five-time PGA Tour winner has a T3 in the 2023 Wells Fargo and T2 in the 2025 PGA Championship here.

With six Tops 25s across his past eight events, including an impressive T7 last week, Smalley's statistics and results don’t match his odds. Quail Hollow Club is among the most demanding tracks on tour. Originally laid out by architect George Cobb in 1959, the course has been extensively transformed by Tom Fazio over the last two decades.

Fazio's modifications sculpted the property into a massive and penalizing 7,583-yard Par 71 characterized by narrow, tree-lined fairways, deep bunkering, and heavily contoured green complexes that create a strategic risk/reward environment. To score on Quail Hollow, players need to execute through the bag while balancing aggressive play alongside disciplined course management.

Historical data from PGA Tour events shows that while bombers like Rory McIlroy have an advantage on the long par 5s and beefy par 4s, extreme long-iron accuracy is also critical to navigate Fazio's signature green complexes. The course features a highly disproportionate number of approach shots from over 200 yards. Unpredictable spring weather in North Carolina can also leave its mark on golfers' scorecards.

Thick rough and severe false fronts on many greens demand elite scrambling skills and place a premium on hitting greens in regulation to avoid squares on the card. Previous winners have played strong tee-to-green and capitalized on scoring opportunities across the scorable middle stretch before the daunting final three holes, famously dubbed the"Green Mile," where surviving the gauntlet of water and sand often determines the champion.

Sheer length of the Par 71 creates longer than average approachesThe Green Mile serves as a brutal three-hole finishWhile there aren’t many tracks that don’t fit McIlroy’s game, his resume pops at Quail Hollow with four wins and five more Top 10s, and he heads back pacing this field in true strokes gained off-the-tee and tee-to-green in 2026. With a pair of solo seconds at Quail Hollow in the past two Truist Championships, Schauffele is a candidate to win with seven consecutive Top 25s leading into the 2026 edition.

True strokes gained off the tee and total drivingThe three-time 2026 winner ranks fourth in adjusted scoring average, ninth in bogey avoidance and second in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green for the year, and he also finished T8 in the 2025 PGA Championship hereMissing the cut in his lone trip to Quail Hollow is the only knock here because Aberg has four Top 5s across his past five events while gaining true strokes across the board, including ranking third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green during the heaterEntering with seven consecutive Top 25s while gaining true strokes across the board, Schauffele’s game is dialed, and he has a pair of solo-seconds at Quail Hollow in 2023 and 2024.

Pick 2: Ludvig Aberg to win Missing the cut in his lone trip to Quail Hollow is the only knock because Ludvig Aberg has four Top 5s across his past five events while gaining true strokes across the board, including ranking third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green during the heater. There was a lull in Si Woo Kim’s results following a torrid start to the season, but he’s all the way back with a solo-third and T4 finish the past two weeks in Signature Events, and there’s no questioning his tee-to-green game.

This will be the eighth trip to Quail Hollow for Harris English, and the five-time PGA Tour winner has a T3 in the 2023 Wells Fargo and T2 in the 2025 PGA Championship on his resume. The statistics and results across Alex Smalley's past eight events don’t match his odds.

He’s carded six Top 25s during the heater, including an impressive T7 last week, and Smalley’s also gained true strokes across the board during the run while ranking 10th in this field on approach and 12th in tee-to-green play. McIlroy returns to Quail Hollow as a four-time champion as he makes his tune-ups for his hunt for a seventh major.

Pick 3: Harris EnglishAs expected, bettors have backed Rory McIlroy with a sizable 15,5% of tickets and 18.8% of the handle at BetMGM as of Wednesday morning. The back-to-back Masters champion is the largest liability for the shop, with Ludvig Aberg and Si Woo Kim right behind McIlroy.

Additionally, Xander Schauffele, Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick and Kim have all seen a slight -200 drop in their odds, while Tommy Fleetwood has climbed from an opening +2200 to +2500 at BetMGM. Where will the 2026 Truist Championship be played? Who is the 2026 Truist Championship favorite?

First Round Leader markets center around which golfers will be in the lead following the first 18 holes of the tournament. When betting Truist Championship matchups, you're selecting which golfer will score better between the two golfers listed in that specific market. There are 18-hole, single-round matchups, in addition to tournament-long, 72-hole matchups. The Truist Championship does not feature a cut, and the limited 72-player field will play all 72 holes of this Signature Event.

You'll see slight variations in odds across sportsbooks for the Truist Championship; it's always good practice to check multiple sports betting sites for the best odds. Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor.

He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices. Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments.

If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come. PGA Championship Odds & Win Probability 2026: Favorites, Pick to Win & Preview for Aronimink Golf ClubZurich Classic Odds, Picks and Predictions 2026If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.

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