Trouble With Predicting Future Of Transportation Is That Today Gets In The Way

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Trouble With Predicting Future Of Transportation Is That Today Gets In The Way
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Is Innovate UK's Transport Vision 2050 a dream or a nightmare? Experts pitch in

There will be “near 100% reliability” of transport services and, despite a doubling in road traffic, “systems” will ensure there will be zero road-related deaths.Transport Vision 2050 was published to little fanfare in early August but contains explosive predictions about the “disincentivisation [of] private car use” including via road pricing.

“But,” he adds, “many of the most important solutions for ensuring that how we move around creates happier lives and healthier places are available and affordable right now. Making it easier for people to walk and cycle does not cost much money nor rely on as yet unproven tech, but has huge power to change our lives for the better.”

discusses the “disincentivisation” of motoring, arguing that “private car [travel] is a comparatively inefficient means of travel,” it still predicts a 43% rise in car traffic. “With the huge push to move over half of urban journeys to walking or cycling this is likely to coincide with more wearable and personal technology which enables travel by foot and pedal to be accessible and efficient,” agrees Tozer.

“The technology to do this is available today and is already being used by some major bus operators to optimize their networks. So we have good reason to remain optimistic about the future of buses and the key role they will play in the future mobility mix.

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Trouble With Predicting Future Of Transportation Is That Today Gets In The WayIs Innovate UK's Transport Vision 2050 a dream or a nightmare? Experts pitch in.
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