Should Invest 94L spawn a named system, it would be take the name Imelda.
Spaghetti models—computer models that illustrate potential storm paths using meteorological data—suggested Invest 94L could potentially track toward the U.S. Southeast Coast. Why It Matters With Hurricane Humberto already churning, meteorologists have previously indicated that the Atlantic could soon see “twin hurricanes” and possibly a “Fujiwhara effect”—where two storms pivot around one another, if they draw close enough to interact.
If the Invest—a term used to designate an area of disturbed weather being monitored for tropical development—were to form a named system, it would take the name Imelda. A spaghetti model shows where the system could track. What To Know In its most recent update on the disturbance, the National Hurricane Center said that showers and thunderstorms were continuing to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave near Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos Islands. “An area of low pressure is expected to form along the wave today when it moves near the southeast Bahamas,” it said. “This low is expected to become a tropical depression when it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas later today or over the weekend, and then track northwestward or northward over the southwestern Atlantic.” NEW: Latest models are in this evening, sliding back east . Orange is 12 hours ago. Windshield wiper effect or a trend? Time will tell. Remember that out to sea is still in the cards too. @WINKNews #94L #Imelda pic.twitter.com/f3DIfAjdXm— Matt Devitt September 26, 2025 The agency said that regardless of development, downpours and gusty winds are ongoing in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Turks and Caicos Islands and were likely to spread across the Bahamas and eastern Cuba in the days ahead. “Interests in all of these areas should monitor the progress of the system. While there is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system, the chances of wind, rainfall, and storm surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast during the next several days are increasing,” the NHC said. IMPORTANT NOTE 🚨When looking at ensemble means, beware of the "survivors bias". For example, the GEFS *mean* misses the coast… but most GEFS members make landfall!This has to do with the storm timing. Consider how some members move the storm faster than others… pic.twitter.com/hv4U64V6Xt— Tomer Burg September 26, 2025 The agency reported a “high” 80 percent chance of cyclone formation through 48 hours and 90 percent through seven days. In a media advisory shared with Newsweek on Thursday, meteorologists at AccuWeather said the disturbance has the potential to become a hurricane later this weekend or early next week. As for Humberto, the NHC said that as of 9 a.m. UTC on Friday, the hurricane was located approximately 465 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, with maximum sustained winds near 75 miles per hour. “Significant strengthening is forecast, and Humberto is expected to become a major hurricane this weekend,” it said. 18z spaghetti models are in and continue to hone in on the SE coast. pic.twitter.com/wwICKCOkBi— Florida Tropics September 25, 2025 What People Are Saying Meteorologist Jeff Berardelli said on X, Thursday: “This is arguably one of the most complex steering scenarios in recent memory!! Two hurricanes, a stalled cut-off upper low, and a deep Greenland cold pool diving south. “How all these factors interact with each other is driving the models… up the wall!! Will soon to be Imelda be pulled into the Carolina coast by the cut-off low as many solutions show? Or will Hurricane Humberto drag Imelda gradually out to sea, as Humberto gets dragged north by the large Greenland jet stream trough? Only time will tell, but folks from FL’s northeast coast to the Carolina’s especially should stay weather aware.” This is arguably one of the most complex steering scenarios in recent memory!! Two hurricanes, a stalled cut-off upper low, and a deep Greenland cold pool diving south. How all these factors interact with each other is driving the models up the wall!!… pic.twitter.com/HEZHYmub4L— Jeff Berardelli September 25, 2025 What Happens Next Forecasts are sometimes subject to change, with agencies such as the NHC issuing regular updates on their websites and social media channels.
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