IAN UPDATE: The latest track shows Ian is forecast to become a hurricane again once it is off of our coast
In northeast Florida and southeast Georgia, major flooding is anticipated to accompany the noon high tide cycle up and down the coast, and then inland along the St. Johns River and its tributaries. This is likely to be followed by additional flooding, though less severe, with the midnight high tide cycle.
The rainfall and surge for downtown Jacksonville does not look to be severe. This situation is different than Irma in 2017 as Irma stayed to the west causing a strong and long fetch of southerly flow up the St. Johns River into downtown Jacksonville. The current Ian forecast is somewhat more similar to Matthew in ‘16 .
Seas and surf will peak Thursday and Friday with a very high rip current risk. Breakers at the beaches from 9-14+ feet Thursday and 8-12+ feet Friday, subsiding over the weekend but with dangerous rip currents continuing. West winds will do a good job of cleaning up the surf by Friday into the weekend.
At least some power outages should be anticipated, especially east of I-95 and over Putnam, St. Johns and Flagler Counties. Realize utility companies will not be able to begin long term repairs until winds decrease and any flooding subsides.A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Chokoloskee to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay; Sebastian Inlet to Flagler/Volusia County Line
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations.
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Jacksonville News, Weather, Traffic and Sports – Action News Jax* LOCATIONS AFFECTED\n- Jekyll Island\n- Glynn Haven\n- Sea Island\n- St. Simons\n- Country Club Estate\n- Dock Junction\n\n* WIND\n- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind\n- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph\n- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Friday morning\n\n- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST\nUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58\nto 73 mph\n- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the\nprevious assessment.\n- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical\nstorm force.\n- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect life and property\nshould now be complete. The area remains subject to\nsignificant wind damage.\n- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from dangerous wind.\n\n- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding\n- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.\n\n* STORM SURGE\n- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible\n- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-6 feet\nabove ground somewhere within surge prone areas\n- Window of concern: through Friday evening\n\n- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST\nUNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm\nsurge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground\n- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the\nprevious assessment.\n- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of\ngreater than 3 feet above ground.\n- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should\nbe complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from\nstorm surge flooding.\n- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture\noutside.\n\n- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding\n- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.\n\n* FLOODING RAIN\n- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect\n- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally\nhigher amounts\n\n- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORE
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