The weather pattern across Mobile, Pensacola, and the central Gulf Coast remains increasingly concerning as deep tropical moisture continues streaming northward into the region.
multiple rounds of rain, thunderstorms, and growing flooding concerns through the end of the week. While Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to make landfall well west of our area, its deep tropical moisture will spread across the central Gulf Coast and contribute to periods of heavy rainfall, dangerous rip currents, and the potential for a few stronger storms.
The biggest concern remainsA cloudy and occasionally rainy day is ahead across the Gulf Coast. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to move through the area, with some producing heavy downpours, frequent lightning, and gusty winds. Temperatures will stay cooler than normal for mid-June, with many communities remaining in the upper 70s to lower 80s thanks to the clouds and rainfall.
Periods of heavy rain possibleModerate rip current risk at area beachesTONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY: BRIEF BREAKS, BUT THE PATTERN STAYS ACTIVE Rain coverage may become somewhat less widespread at times tonight and Wednesday, but showers and thunderstorms will remain common across the region. There will likely be periods where conditions improve and even some sunshine develops, but additional rounds of rain remain likely. Temperatures will warm back into the middle and upper 80s Wednesday while humidity levels continue to climb.
The flooding threat will gradually increase as the ground becomes more saturated from repeated rounds of rainfall. Surf heights increasing through midweekAnyone planning beach trips later this week should closely monitor beach flags and local forecasts.
The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories onand could briefly strengthen intoWhile tropical-storm-force winds are expected to remain west of our area, the system is forecast to produce widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated amounts near 12 inches from Texas through Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle. Dangerous rip currentsRemember: Whether this system becomes Arthur or remains a tropical disturbance, the impacts for our area will be driven by rainfall, not wind.
Thursday and Friday continue to look like the most impactful days of this forecast. Potential Tropical Cyclone One, currently over south Texas, is forecast to move into the northwestern Gulf and could briefly becomebefore moving inland along the Louisiana coast. Regardless of whether the system receives a name, the impacts for our area remain largely the same.
Deep tropical moisture associated with this system will surge into Alabama, Mississippi, and northwest Florida, bringing periods of heavy rain and increasing flood concerns.3 to 5 inches across much of the FOX10 viewing areaLocally higher amounts where rain bands repeatedly move over the same locationsIn addition to the flooding threat, a few stronger thunderstorms could develop Thursday as the tropical low approaches. This may allow for a brief tornado or two, especially in heavier rain bands.
Minor coastal flooding will also be possible around Mobile Bay, the Causeway, and other vulnerable coastal locations as strong southerly winds push water toward the shoreline. Beach conditions will become increasingly hazardous through the second half of the week. High Rip Current Risk beginning Wednesday and continuing through at least SaturdaySurf heights are expected to build from around 2 to 3 feet today to as high as 4 to 6 feet by Thursday and Friday.
High rip current risk Wednesday through SaturdayLife-threatening rip currents likely If you’re heading to the beach, swim near a lifeguard and pay close attention to beach warning flags. The wet pattern will gradually begin to improve late Friday into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will still be possible Saturday and Sunday, but they should become less widespread than what we expect during the latter half of the work week.
The flooding threat should gradually decrease over the weekend, although any additional heavy rain could still cause issues in locations that receive excessive rainfall earlier in the week. Copyright 2026 WALA. All rights reserved.
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