A top pollster is leaning toward Sen. Raphael Warnock winning reelection and defeating Republican challenger Herschel Walker in a race now heading toward a runoff.
FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said on ABC News's This Week that he sees merit in betting markets, which are showing a 70% chance that Warnock will keep his seat. If Warnock wins, it will be the first time that no Georgia senator incumbent has lost since 1914.
Silver said there are some factors leaning in Walker's favor, such as Libertarian voters, who typically lean conservative. They brought in 2.1% in the first voting round for their candidate, Chase Oliver. However, Silver said exit polls showed most Libertarian voters thought Walker's views were"too extreme."
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