Tight California races may determine US House control

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Tight California races may determine US House control
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A string of California U.S. House races remains in play, and the outcome could make the difference in which party controls the chamber next year.

FILE - U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, D-Calif., speaks during a House Committee on Oversight and Reform hearing on gun violence on Capitol Hill in Washington, June 8, 2022. This year brings a marquee matchup between Porter, a progressive star, and Republican Scott Baugh, a former state legislative leader and past head of the county GOP, in the coastal 47th District that includes Huntington Beach and other famous surf breaks. – A string of too-early-to-call California U.S.

In the Central Valley, GOP Rep. David Valadao, who voted to impeach then-President Donald Trump, had 54% of the votes counted so far in his race against Democrat Rudy Salas, but most ballots had yet to be tabulated. Four years ago, Valadao lost a reelection bid after seeing a sizable lead on election Day evaporate as late-arriving mail-in ballots were counted. He won back the seat in 2020.

With votes still being counted in key races “we don’t know whether California is a political bellwether or an island,” said Thad Kousser, a political science professor at the University of California, San Diego. Democrats also appeared in position to retain their grip on all statewide offices. A Republican hasn't won one of those races in California since 2006 when Arnold Schwarzenegger was re-elected governor.

Calvert — the longest serving Republican in the California congressional delegation — was first elected in 1992. Democrats hoped to claw back the four seats they surrendered in 2020 and pad their dominance in the state congressional delegation. Republicans hold only 11 of the state’s 53 seats, which drops to 52 seats next year because California’s once-soaring population growth has stalled.

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