Harris needs 44 electoral votes from the toss-up states this year to win, while Trump would need 51.
Donald Trump has made gains in three swing states in the past week, according to a major election forecaster.Pollster Nate Silver's forecast shows that the former president has made marginal gains in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina in the past week—three states in which he has the lead—while Harris had made gains in two other swing states.Trump's largest gain was in North Carolina, which is currently the closest state in the election, where he has gained 0.4 points.
FiveThirtyEight's forecast shows she is set to win Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which would get her over the line. Harris is leading by between 1 and 2 points in all four states, according to FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver's poll trackers. However, FiveThirtyEight's tracker shows Harris' lead has been cut in every swing state since September, other than Nevada, where it has increased, and North Carolina, where polls have remained largely stable.
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