The author argues that the upcoming election is essentially decided, with turnout being the deciding factor. They make a bold prediction that Kamala Harris will win, citing flawed polling and the influence of partisan firms.
There’s no big last debate. No tentpole events likely to shake up the race in these dwindling days. Yes, a full-on war could break out in the Middle East. Or another hurricane could blow ashore, wreaking havoc—and Category 5 conspiracy theories. But the reality is that if nothing or everything happens between now and November 5, it’s unlikely to change the outcome. This sucker is baked. And what does that mean? Well, first of all, there aren’t really any undecided voters.
In August, the Harris–Tim Walz ticket enjoyed an eight-point lead when it came to voter enthusiasm. And there is a big difference in the ground game. Democrats are largely paying their field workers, while Republicans are mostly relying on volunteers. These are factors not being picked up on the radar of the head-to-head polling. In addition, Trump suddenly seems not just lazy, weak , and old, but also truly out of it.
Election Kamala Harris Turnout Polling Prediction
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