Thermal coal climbs as Russia-Ukraine war rolls into its second winter

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Thermal coal climbs as Russia-Ukraine war rolls into its second winter
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Twelve months after prices hit unprecedented highs above $US400 a tonne, coal markets are starting to prepare for a cold snap in Europe.

, demand for Australian thermal coal prices is once again on the rise following 12 months of unprecedented levels of volatility for the commodity.

“But after a mild northern hemisphere winter, people were sitting on a lot of stock and that’s what partly drove prices down to $US130 a tonne. But now we’re starting to see things tick up.”Mr Simington added that while demand had staged a tentative recovery in recent months, the lack of supply had continued to hold the price up.

“We think it’ll be another tight winter, so we’re calling prices over the fourth quarter to reach $200 a tonne,” he said.“Energy markets are still likely to be short fuel this winter in Europe. So, if there’s any kind of disruption or unexpected outages within the European nuclear fleet or their renewable portfolio, prices could rise.”Australia’s exports of thermal and coking coal came in at 6.

Twelve months on since prices reached unprecedented levels, Mr Moore said that global coal supply chains were still struggling to pivot to a new demand structure in Europe. Likewise, Morningstar analyst Jon Mills edged up his price targets for NSW thermal coal miner New Hope, despite news of a 2.6 per cent thermal coal royalty for the state’s miners.

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