In 2020, some experts predicted a baby boom thanks to the lockdown. That didn't happen — instead, our baby bust got worse. And it's still getting worse.
boom. It never happened. Now that we have numbers from 2023, it’s clear that despite some ups and downs duringa lockdown baby boom — after all, what else were couples going to do while cooped up in the house all day?. The 4% drop in births was massive. This is because families require community support — neighbors, extended family, friends, schools, and so on.more births
than 2020, but still fewer than 2019. Surely, though 2022 — when folks were fully out from lockdowns — would show a real rebound in births?Covid led to a baby bump in the United States, the first reversal in declining rates of fertility since the Great Recession, defying all predictionsThese numbers come in very delayed for many reasons. First of all, there’s the nine-month gap between when a baby is created and when it is born.
So now, four years after the lockdowns began, we finally have numbers through the end of 2023. And they tell us that there never was a pandemic or post-pandemic baby boom. In 2023, we had fewer babies than even in the lowest year of COVID-19, and we just posted the lowest birthrate in history. So here’s what happened: America has a low and steadily falling birthrate. The bumps in the last three years didn’t show any real change — it’s just that 2020’s birthrate was extra low, and in 2021 and 2022, we returned to our old downward trajectory. There was a partial makeup inFrom 2008 through 2019, births were falling by about 1.17% a year. Had that continued in 2020 through 2023, rather than the down-and-up we had, we would have actually had almost 20,000 more births in those four years.
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