Strategist Robert Buckland says global stocks have gained 7% on an annualized rate since 2010, which how much dividends have gone up in that time.
Citi strategist Robert Buckland said in a note earlier this month that global stocks have gained 7% on an annualized rate since 2010, which is how much dividends have gone up in that time.Based on estimated dividend growth, global equities should return 13% over the next two years, Citi estimates.Want to know where the stock market is going? Just track dividends, a strategist at Citi Research says.
Buckland notes that dividends across global equity markets have increased by 7% on an annualized basis since 2010. Global stocks have also grown at an annualized rate of 7% in that time. "Sure, sometimes share prices run ahead of dividends and sometimes they lag. But these decouplings don't last too long," Buckland said. "The overall historical message is clear: get dividends right and you will get share prices right."
But their long-term forecasting method should be much simpler than that and not account for short-term volatility, Buckland says.
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