For the first time since people began growing crops and building cities, relying on past conditions—normals—can’t help us protect ourselves, writes Sci_Officer of ClimateCentral.
For the first time since people began growing crops and building cities, relying on past conditions—normals—can’t help us protect ourselves. If we only adjust to what we’ve experienced, we will always be a step or two or more behind. The best we can do is to try to anticipate conditions before they occur. Climate models provide a high-level but blurry view of the future. They don’t really have hurricanes and they definitely don’t have tornadoes.
Another approach—call it a climate life-hack—is to bet on the trend. Assume that if something in the weather is changing or weird, then it’s probably related to climate change and probably going to occur more often. Last week’s extreme rain in New York and Vermont is a good example.
So we are not living in a new normal. Climate projections and climate trends clearly tell us that. But science is also clear on what we have to do to find a new normal: stop burning coal, oil, and natural gas. When we stop adding CO2 to the atmosphere, global temperatures will stabilize and we will have weather that we can get used to. Every new wind turbine or solar farm or electric vehicle makes that possibility more likely.
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