“I’m telling you, this could be a problem,” election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer said
are working to get West on the ballot in several states like Ohio, West Virginia, and Arkansas, and they helped secure his place on Colorado’s ballot this week.election forecaster Rachel Bitecofer
“The importance of the third party is something I call third party defection,” Bitecofer said. “When you think about, they talk about this narrative that is spun out in the media about him winning [in 2016] over the Midwest, and you had all these states that slipped over to Trump. But really, that’s not mathematically actually what happened.”
She continued, “And that’s because, between the two of them, their vote share totals like are 92 or 95. And then there’s a third party defection that’s, three to five times higher. Even, in some states, higher than what we’ve seen in other recent elections.”
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