Taiwan has become a focal point for tensions between the US and China. Many in the US have called for a commitment to defend the island against Chinese attack, but a war with China over Taiwan would likely be devastating.
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In combination with the recent increase in the number of Chinese warplanes flying into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone, this latest development continues a trend of rising tensions between the United States and China over the flashpoint of Taiwan.in these pages, there is virtually no scenario in which the US fights a war with China that we don't come out severely harmed; in a worst-case scenario, we stumble into a catastrophic nuclear conflict.
Secretary of the Navy Carols Del Toro gave a lecture to the midshipmen of the Naval Academy on Tuesday in which Taiwanese troops fire a BGM-71 anti-tank missile during military exercises in central Taiwan, July 16, 2020.that instead of leading Taiwanese authorities to believe the United States will fight China on their behalf, Washington "should push Taiwan to invest more in its self-defense capacity - especially radar and mobile anti-ship and anti-air missiles, which makes an amphibious attack on the island more costly.
Choosing to fight a war out of pride or an understandable affinity for democratic ideals will harm our military greatly, likely not prevent Taiwan's capture, and take us decades to recover from the military losses; in the worst case, things could spiral out of control and result in a nuclear exchange.
The PLA would then be severely weakened, even if successful, and it would take upward of a decade to rebuild its strength to its pre-invasion level. Meanwhile, the task of convincing Europe and other Asian nations to join with us and band together for a balancing coalition would be much easier, complicating Beijing's economic objectives for decades to come.
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