Why the Biden administration must come up with a realistic strategy for Syria and understand that it has to work with Türkiye Opinion | omerozkizilcik
A proposed deal between Washington and Moscow to end the conflict in Syria—brokered by US National Security Council Coordinator Brett McGurk—could be the biggest collateral damage of the Ukraine war, with Russia unlikely to sign on the dotted lines following the punishing western sanctions.
Under the deal drawn up by McGurk—an influential diplomat tasked with handling American affairs in the Middle East and North Africa—Russia would have provided guarantees for the YPG terror group to preserve its gains in northern Syria. In return, the US would withdraw from Syria and accept the regime of Bashar al-Assad.
By committing the YPG to the deal, McGurk—the mastermind behind the decision to partner with the YPG against Daesh—would have secured his political masterpiece in the Middle East, and with that his political career. Yet, in the current context, arguing for a deal with Moscow—and the de-facto handover of the American area of influence to it—is something no one in Washington would dare to do.
At this point, even if the US wanted to negotiate with Russia over Syria, it is unlikely that Moscow would be interested. Putting aside geopolitical and military considerations, even agreements over humanitarian issues seem to be at risk; it is likely that Russia will a cross-border deal for humanitarian aid and thus break the last diplomatic positively connotated agenda between the two major powers in Syria.The State Department had vehemently opposed Mcgurk’s idea but its leverage against the work of the NSC and US Central Command was limited. As known, CENTCOM, with the leading role of McGurk, managed to
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