The Trump hush money case speaks louder than you think

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The Trump hush money case speaks louder than you think
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What people are likely to get wrong about a potential Donald Trump indictment in New York. (via Deadline: Legal Blog)

to kick things off. But that’s the wrong way to think about it, for multiple reasons.

First, on the relative strength of potential New York, Georgia and federal cases: It’s unusual to know this much about potential prosecutions before charges have even been filed. But despite all we know, it’s still impossible to truly compare the potential charges in each jurisdiction, because we just don’t know what each prosecutor knows and how that knowledge translates to what crimes, if any, they'll allege Trump has committed. Of course, we’re broadly familiar with the matters.

efforts to overturn the 2020 election. Same goes for Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith’s two investigations: one about Jan. 6 and the other about the classified documents found at Mar-a-Lago. In light of those seemingly grander narratives, there’s a line of thinking that goes: How can you compare Jan.

But each case rises or falls on its own. And the order in which each is brought doesn't matter. If charges are brought first in New York, and if Willis and Smith also plan on bringing charges, they’re not going to wait around to see how Bragg’s entire case unfolds. That could stretch through the 2024 election, which, if Trump is elected, could bar Smith from bringing charges under Justice Department policy against indicting sitting presidents.

And on the respective merits of the cases, recall that the hush money payment came in the run-up to the 2016 election. According to

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