We've identified the Top 10 trends every NFL bettor needs to know about including fading the Super Bowl loser in Week 1, taking the Under in Washington home games, and counting on Joe Burrow to cover.
is 27-14-1 ATS in his regular season career as a starter. How can you not like Joey B, especially when he’s cashing tickets at a 65.8% clip in his career. It gets even better as thehave gone 15-4-1 ATS as an underdog with Burrow as the starter in games that he finished.
The Bengals come into this season on an absolute tear that’s seen them cover 16 of their last 20 regular season games and five straight as an underdog. They’ll open their season as a 2.5-point favorite in Cleveland and lookahead lines have them as an underdog in just two games: +1 at San Francisco and +3 at Kansas City.What do you get when you combine a pretty good defense with an atrocious offense? You get yourself a lot of Unders – specifically in home games in the case of the Commanders. It’s been a revolving door at quarterback for Washington the past few seasons. This has led to them being a Bottom 10 scoring offense in five straight seasons. That’s hard to do.as their long-term answer at quarterback, there’s not much debate regarding how good the defense is. They’re coming off a season where they were great on third down and is the red zone while also being strong at generating pressure. Washington is opening their season at home vs. the Cardinals in Week 1, and unfortunately, oddsmakers aren’t giving us a lot of room to work with. This game has the lowest total of the week at 39. It’s certainly a low number, but still, maybe not low enough. Last season, Commanders’ home games saw an average combined score of 36.8. Their final four home games were especially low scoring, with an average combined score of just 32.5.are 5-25 SU and 9-21 ATS over their last 30 games. I get it, this is as high as people have been on the Jets in a very long time, but I can’t ignore that they’ve been an absolute punching bag vs. their divisional rivals. A lot of these losses are on Robert Salah’s watch too as the Jets are a pathetic 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS within their division since he took over as head coach. The Jets have long been the whipping boys of Bill Belichick and the Patriots who have a 14-game win streak against them coming into the season. New York has also been horrific in divisional road games where they’re on a slide that’s seen them go 2-18 SU and 5-14-1 ATS since 2016. What’s different this year is that the Jets are viewed as a much more competitive team, so if you’d like to fade them vs. their divisional rivals, you won’t have to pay the big price of going against a clearly overmatched underdog. They open their season as a +2.5 home underdog vs. the Bills. For what it’s worth, they’ve been a double-digit underdog in four straight games against Buffalo. DoesChicago BearsThe NFC North is perhaps the NFL’s most wide-open division this season with a lot of question marks. One thing we shouldn’t question, however, has been the ability of the Packers, Lions and Vikings to cash tickets vs. the Bears. The Bears have only been an outright winner in six of these 21 games and have lost nine straight divisional matchups.hasn’t helped matters, as the Bears have lost eight of his nine games within the NFC North, with Chicago failing to reach 20 points in five of them. Some view Chicago as a sleeper candidate with a high upside in 2023 and they’ll actually open the season as a rare favorite when they host the new-look Packers. They’re favored by 1.5 in that one. Four of their six divisional matchups are all within three points on lookahead lines.were 10-2 ATS with six outright wins last season. The G-Men were one of 2022’s biggest surprises as they often played up to the competition and beat a lot of that higher-level competition. Despite their overwhelming improvement from the previous year, the Giants are still a Bottom 10 team on theNew York played in an incredible 13 one-score games last season and were an outright winner in eight of them. Coaching was clearly the biggest upgrade for this team and there weren’t many games they were truly out of as they always played hard right to the final whistle. You won’t have to wait long to back the Giants as an underdog. They open the season as a 3.5-point home dog vs. Dallas, and are an underdog in nine other games in current lookahead lines.
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