The surprising wild card Trump faces in 2020

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The surprising wild card Trump faces in 2020
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'Just because foreign policy has rarely been a dominant influence in ... campaigns and elections doesn't mean it won't play a greater role in this one. Trump's first term has shattered all kinds of conventional wisdom.' | Aaron David Miller, CNNOpinion

Aaron David Miller is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of"The End of Greatness: Why America Can't Have Another Great President." Miller was a State Department Middle East analyst negotiator in Democratic and Republican administrations. The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author; view more opinion articles on CNN.

Unlike the cases of Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton -- the only two presidents who had been impeached until now -- and a third, Richard Nixon, who resigned before the House voted on impeachment, President Donald Trump's impeachment trial will focus on an abuse of power related to foreign policy. 'use strict';CNN.Videx=CNN.Videx || {};CNN.Videx.mobile={};CNN.INJECTOR.executeFeature.then {CNN.VideoPlayer.handleUnmutePlayer=function handleUnmutePlayer {'use strict';var playerInstance,playerPropertyObj,rememberTime,unmuteCTA,unmuteIdSelector='unmute_' + containerId,isPlayerMute;dataObj=dataObj || {};if ==='fave') {playerInstance=FAVE.player.getInstance || null;} else {playerInstance=containerId && window.cnnVideoManager.getPlayerByContainer.

Fareed's Take: Trump has no foreign policy 04:12Rarely do issues beyond our shores figure prominently in an election cycle, much less one where an impeachment trial is underway. Indeed, traditionally, domestic issues dominate presidential elections, with a tiny fraction of voters giving top priority to foreign policy concerns. But this year could be different. And here's why.

Ten months is an eternity in foreign policy. Any number of potential crisis points might present themselves before election day -- Iran, North Korea, Russian influence in US politics or an unanticipated terror attack. None offer easy or simple solutions, and some carry real risks of missteps or miscalculation on the part of a mercurial President not known for carefully thinking through the costs and consequences of his actions.

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