NPR's electoral map organizes states into seven categories – Toss Up, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Likely Republican, Likely Democratic, Safe Republican and Safe Democratic.
NPR's electoral map organizes states into seven categories – Toss Up, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Likely Republican, Likely Democratic, Safe Republican and Safe Democratic.
It lays out which direction the states are leaning at this point and are organized into seven categories – Toss Up, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Likely Republican, Likely Democratic, Safe Republican and Safe Democratic.Trump holds slight advantages in most of the swing states right now, according to averages of the polls. Strictly going by the polls, Trump would have a 283-255 lead .
Team Biden has also spent $2 million in Wisconsin. Trump and groups supporting him have spent nothing there so far.Most of the money in this election is going to be poured into seven states, and they fall into two familiar buckets – the so-called"Blue Wall" states ofThe Blue Wall states are home to significant shares of white, working-class voters, but Biden has retained strong support with unions.
It's the key group Trump is targeting. But they are declining as a share of the population and of the electorate. That's a big reason Trump lost despite whites without degrees voting at a higher rate in 2020 compared to 2016 , according to data from Michael McDonald, the preeminent turnout expert in the country and professor at the University of Florida.
Consider that 20 years ago, Republican George W. Bush won Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, New Mexico and North Carolina. That's all changed, as each is either competitive or clearly in the Democratic column.
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