The Social Democrats are likely to take charge in Germany

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The Social Democrats are likely to take charge in Germany
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The FDP and Greens may fail to find common ground, and for now the CDU/CSU is clinging to hopes of remaining in office. But the stars are lining up for Olaf Scholz

SPDcabinet members lost their direct seats . The Baltic-coast seat vacated by the departing Mrs Merkel went to themembers who had grown frustrated with the lukewarm support, or worse, from their notional Bavarian allies, theMuch of the blame falls on the shoulders of Armin Laschet, the unconvincing candidate chosen by theto fill Mrs Merkel’s shoes.

Discontent quickly grew in the conservative ranks. There were calls for “personnel discussions”; code for Mr Laschet to quit. A potential rebellion over the identity of the head of theparliamentary group was quelled only with a last-minute compromise. And friction between the sister parties intensified.

More than two-thirds of German voters think Mr Laschet should throw in the towel. With his chances of forming a government fading, his remaining hope is to make the, he will be gone within a month.’s comeback cannot mask a long-term decline in the share of the vote that goes to two big “people’s parties”, from 82% in 1987 to below 50% this time . This is why Germany is probably heading for its first three-way coalition since the 1950s.

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