The Science Behind Why COVID-19 Tends to Spike During Summer Months

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The Science Behind Why COVID-19 Tends to Spike During Summer Months
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The U.S. is in the middle of another COVID-19 'summer surge' as 'high' or 'very high' levels of the virus have been detected across most of the country. COVID tends to spike during the summer months due to rising temperatures, more gatherings, and an evolving virus.

Elizabeth Yuko, PhD, is a bioethicist and journalist, as well as an adjunct professor of ethics at Dublin City University. She has written for publications including The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Atlantic, Rolling Stone, and more.Nick Blackmer is a librarian, fact-checker, and researcher with more than 20 years of experience in consumer-facing health and wellness content."High" or "very high" levels of the virus have been detected across most of the country.

While inconvenient, it’s normal for COVID to spike in the summer months—in fact, summer surges have happened every summer since COVID arrived on the scene. Here’s what to know about this increase in cases, including why it tends to happen during summertime, and how to protect yourself from the virus.A COVID summer surge is “when there’s an unexpected increase in the number of COVID cases” during the summer months, according to, flu, and now COVID with fall and winter.

In other words, if you’re relying on your immunity to protect you against COVID, you’re going to need a new strategy—like getting vaccinated. “Vaccinations are effective in maintaining immunity for a relatively longer period of time,” he said.are largely driving this surge and “may be more adept at evading the immune system,” Roundtree said. “They’re offshoots of the JN.1 variant which we saw earlier this year,” she added.

Along the same lines, increased summertime social activities, events, and travel “set the stage for a significant rise in cases and complicates any existing efforts to manage the spread,” Roundtree said. This includes people getting together to watch the Summer Olympics.

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