ANALYSIS | The rock that struck back: Why women are returning to the ANC
In late 2017, at the height of the leadership contestation in the ANC when Jacob Zuma supporters squared off against the Cyril Ramaphosa faction, women were holding their own hard line – a significant retraction of support for a ruling party with a dismal record for respecting women.
In the second wave of the study, however, women surprised us once again. When we garnered input on voting preferences for wave 2, from a similar sample of potential voters , we found that no gender gap in voter preferences. In other words, gender is not a predictor of who respondents were likely to vote for. This is a significant shift from our previous findings.
Can a single personality make all the difference? The fact that women were demonstrably less likely to support the ANC under Zuma must be viewed in context. As a leader he was described as"often tone deaf to gender sensitivities" , and his term as president was described by Colleen Lowe Morna, CEO of Gender Links, as one in which"gender discourse in South Africa has taken its worst knock in the twenty years of democracy".
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