Last year’s perfect bracket was a resounding success. Now it’s time to do it again.
Forget about filling out 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 brackets to guarantee a win in your March Madness pool. You are about to encounter this year’s Perfect Bracket, which, as always, is guaranteed* to win you your pool by highlighting selections that have excess value relative to conventional wisdom.last year after my projections placed San Diego State in the title game .
Remember, the goal of the Perfect Bracket is not to be competitive in your pool; the goal is to be the highestscoring bracket at the end of the tournament, thanks to a selection of teams that are more valuable than they appear on paper. In other words, it’s designed to be first or somewhere approaching last, with no in-between. So who is this year’s San Diego State? Let’s find out.
Believing Auburn will face Connecticut in the Sweet 16 opens us up to take a few more risks, albeit little ones, like. If San Diego State wins, it shouldn’t impact our long-term prognosis much, since we’re depending on Auburn to advance to the next round. The sacrifice of a point for the possibility of correctly identifying a 12 seed to win a game is worth the risk, especially in pools that give bonuses for correct upset picks.
The key pick, of course, is Auburn beating Duke for the national title. If that happens, it will be another good year for the perfect bracket supporters.The Perfect Bracket intelligently selects upsets by projecting each individual matchup from the ground up, starting with an estimated number of possessions for each team and taking into account any additional possessions to be had via offensive rebounds and turnovers.
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