The Paradox at the Heart of Elon Musk’s Cybercab Vision

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The Paradox at the Heart of Elon Musk’s Cybercab Vision
Self-Driving CarsUrban DesignElon Musk
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During an event for Tesla’s new self-driving Cybercab—due out 2027—Musk revealed an expansive vision for cities transformed by a robotaxi revolution. Experts say the plan has some hitches.

That’s the vision shown off by Tesla CEO Elon Musk last week during a presentation broadcast from a set at Warner Bros. Studio, outside of Los Angeles. Some 20 prototypes cruised the movie lot as a series of mocked-up images showed scenes of the idyllic tomorrow these sleek people-movers could usher us into. But experts say Tesla ’s brave, new city of the future will need more than a few robotaxis to transform this hi-def rendering into reality.

“People love to move in a safe and comfortable way,” says Andreas Nienhaus, who heads up the consultancy Oliver Wyman’s Mobility Forum. “Whenever people have the choice and they don’t have the guidance, they will opt into a personal car.” Car owners are also unlikely to share their private vehicles with others. Peer-to-peer car-sharing services, which let users rent out their cars to others when they’re not using them, have struggled to scale, Nienhaus says.

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