The Oscars' Best Supporting Actress category has no clear frontrunner. Here's why that's a good thing:
Viewership in the Academy Awards has declined in recent years for many reasons, but among them is the lack of tension. After a long award season of critics’ prizes, industry events, and televised awards shows, you generally see the same sort of speeches from the same group of winners over and over again. There’s not as much incitement to watch if you feel like you already know what the results are going in.
Women Talking is certainly a powerful, moving seminar on gender dynamics and redemption, and while critics have found it to be immensely effective, it’s likely that it will turn off some awards voters who view it as “dull.” This may make it hard for co-stars Jessie Buckley and Claire Foy to get in, as they are both given somewhat equal amounts of screentime.
It’s also entirely unclear where some films’ Best Picture chances stand, which could affect the number of nominations they receive. She Said was marked as a potential contender for multiple prizes , but the disappointing box office returns and respectful, yet unenthusiastic reviews make its chances unclear. The Woman King has the potential to over exceed in nominations due to the passionate love for the film, so maybe Lashana Lynch has a shot.
The New York Film Critics Circle made a bold choice and gave their supporting actress prize to Keke Palmer in Nope; while Nope is a hard genre movie that would be outside of the Academy’s wheelhouse, Jordan Peele’s pedigree and the film’s enthusiastic fans could boost a late surge in its favor.
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