The G7 summit in Évian-les-Bains, France, marks a significant shift in global politics as the group of wealthy democracies tries to adapt to a post-American world. The guest list for the summit includes not only the core G7 powers but also several countries from the Global South.
The G7 summit in Évian-les-Bains, France , marks a significant shift in global politics as the group of wealthy democracies tries to adapt to a post-American world.
The guest list for the summit, hosted by France from June 15 to 17, includes not only the core G7 powers but also several countries from the Global South, such as India, Brazil, and South Korea. This is not outreach, but rather the first draft of a new world order written while the United States is still sitting at the table.
The French presidency has been discreet about the point, focusing on the official agenda of discussing geopolitical challenges, Ukraine, the Middle East, and international partnerships. However, the numbers explain the nerves: the G7 still has significant economic and military power, but it no longer has a demographic or economic monopoly. The group's share of global GDP has declined to 28.4 percent, its share of world population is 9.6 percent, and its share of global military spending is 49.3 percent.
The shift is not incidental to the United States, as President Donald Trump's presidency has accelerated the decline of the G7's influence. The allies tried to bend Trump towards the G7 in 2018, but now the group is bending itself around him. The invitees to the summit are insurance policies, with some bringing legitimacy, geography, fuel, food, chips, soldiers, or votes in the Global South.
Ranked from least to most important, they reveal what the old rich-country club fears losing most. Qatar is the smallest strategic hedge at Évian, but it is not a trivial one, as it has a significant economy and is attached to one of the world's most important energy levers. The United Arab Emirates ranks just above Qatar because it is both a hydrocarbon actor and a capital actor, with significant economic and military power.
The post-American world will still need fuel, and it may also need mediators who can talk to people the G7 would rather not invite to dinner. The summit is an opportunity for the G7 to adapt to a new reality and to redefine its role in the world. It is a chance for the group to show that it can still be a force for good, even if it is no longer the dominant player.
The question is whether the G7 can rise to the challenge and become a more inclusive and effective global leader
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