Voters in a state house district in the suburbs of Houston, Texas, are set to deliver the first electoral decision of the year — and both parties are watching closely.
But despite the Democratic hype around the contest, early voting results from last week did not look good for the party. By Monday, many were were quietly throwing cold water on the idea that Tuesday’s outcome served as a bellwether for 2020, downplaying expectations.
“This isn't easy terrain for us in the first place,” said Abhi Rahman, a spokesperson for the Texas Democratic Party. “The fact that it's so close is a win for us already....the fact that Republicans had to spend here already shows how diverse and changing Texas is.” Texas Democrats gained 12 seats in the State House in 2018 and need to flip only nine more seats in order to gain control of the chamber and take the majority. With redistricting just around the corner in 2021,is paramount to both parties. Texas is expected to gain multiple U.S. House seats in addition to the 36 it already holds due to its population growth.
“They’re all worried about redistricting. We have to hold the House,” said Steinhauser, who said he has heard from members of Congress concerned that Democrats could take the Texas House, giving them the ability to redraw congressional district to be more competitive. “That's first and foremost on their minds: am I going to lose my seat?” Steinhauser continued. “The donors are talking about it. The state party leadership are talking about it. The county parties are talking about it. The candidates are talking about it. It's on the front of their minds, in some ways more than congressional races.”
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