The researchers concluded that Republicans will have a major advantage over Democrats in 2020 and beyond unless a policy change completely dissolves, rather than reforms, the Electoral College.
The Republican Party is set to win a large majority of all future close presidential elections, even contests in which they lose the popular vote, according to a recent study.
The study released by the National Bureau of Economic Research last month found that one-third of presidential candidates who win the popular by less than 2 percentage points can still lose the Electoral College votes. In races decided by fewer than one percentage point, there's a 45 percent chance the popular vote winner still manages to lose the Electoral College.there have only been four inversions in presidential elections since 1836.
"I think a lot of people think that there was something special or improbable about the 2016 election," Spears said."That with the politics of these times, 2016 was somehow a fluke. One of the important things that we learned is that that's not true. ... Not because it was unlikely, it was an inversion because an inversion is likely in a close election."
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