El Niño is a big factor, but not the only one.
After a few years of heightened risk, the Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to look pretty average for 2023. That’s thanks to an unusually long-lasting weather pattern called La Niña finally ending, with its counterpart, El Niño, expected to soon develop. The caveat is that there’s more uncertainty in this year’s seasonal forecast than normal because of unusually warm temperatures in the Atlantic.
released today by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration . But there’s also a 30 percent chance of an “normal” season when it comes to storm activity.
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