Our college basketball betting picks analyze the upcoming matchup between the Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks. We explore defensive strengths, recent performances, and key players to provide insights for your wagering decisions.
The Razorbacks are riding high off a win in Kentucky, while Texas just shot the lights out vs. LSU. However, our college basketball betting picks believe both offenses are due for a reality check tonight. \The Arkansas Razorbacks are fresh off dispatching the Kentucky Wildcats in coach John Calipari's homecoming game, but oddsmakers are skeptical that they'll string wins together when they visit the Texas Longhorns at Moody Center on Wednesday night. Tipoff comes your way at 9:00 p.m.
ET on ESPN2.The Haslametrics predicted total for this game is 144.4, while BartTorvik checks in at 142.41. I'm much more in line with the latter projection based on recent trends for both teams. While Arkansas did drop 89 points in an emotionally-charged tilt with Kentucky, it must be noted the Wildcats are 112th in KenPom's defensive efficiency ratings. Their turnstile defense was at it again last night, as the unit allowed 98 points to Mississippi. Texas' defense is a much more respectable 36th in defensive efficiency. The Longhorns held LSU to a mere 58 points when last seen, yet that game saw a run of four straight Unders snapped as Texas scored 89 points. The Longhorns' eFG% vs. the Tigers was 64.1%, by far their highest output since conference play began in earnest. Their second-highest output in this department over their last nine games was a full 10 points lower. \These programs profile similarly on offense, as neither team is keen to play at a fast pace (Arkansas is 120th while Texas is 201st at Haslametrics) but take high-quality shots, particularly at the rim. However, these defenses are both built to stop this kind of attack. The Razorbacks are 34th in FG% vs. the average opponent and 33rd in near-proximity percentage (NP%), but the Longhorns counter that on defense as they rank 38th and ninth in the corresponding categories. It's the same story on the other side of the ball, with Texas ranking 25th in FG% and 30th in NP% vs. the average opponent, while Arkansas' defense is 54th and 29th. \While I don't believe Texas will run Arkansas out of the gym, especially since I see this game playing out in a low-scoring fashion, I still think the Longhorns are a good bet to come away with the outright victory. The Razorbacks are just 2-6 SU in 2025, with a narrow win over mediocre Georgia being their only triumph prior to upsetting Kentucky. The letdown angle is very much in play here. Texas may be only 4-5 SU in 2025, but they've punched above their weight in losses to Auburn, Tennessee, and Mississippi, picking up the cover as underdogs in each instance. Let's juice up this SGP with a reverse-correlation play and back Arkansas' Zvonimir Ivisic to tally at least 11 points. Ivisic is one of several Razorback players picking up extra minutes since Boogie Fland went down with a season-ending injury four games ago. He's been much more trigger-happy from deep in this span, draining nine of 22 attempts (40.9%), but the 7-foot-2 Croatian can score the ball in multiple ways.
College Basketball Texas Longhorns Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Picks Defenses Recent Performances Zvonimir Ivisic Injuries Upset Potential
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