Key Republican races appear headed for run-offs as latest polling shows close races in the Senate and attorney general primaries.
Primary elections in Texas are Tuesday and latest polling shows a contentious Republican race in the U.S. Senate primary could head to a runoff.A poll from the Texas Politics Project shows a close race between incumbent Sen.
John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, with Rep. Wesley Hunt also factoring into the race. The latest numbers show 36% of likely primary voters preferring Paxton, 34% Cornyn and 26% Hunt.Polled voters that identified as "extremely conservative" said they preferred Paxton over the other two main candidates. Paxton had the support of 41% of those polled, compared to 30% for Hunt and 27% for Cornyn.All three candidates were relatively close among "somewhat conservative" voters, 36% for Paxton, 35%for Cornyn, 27%for Hunt.Cornyn leads the way with 50% support from those who "lean conservative." Paxton pulled support from 33% and Hunt 17%.Republican voters viewed Paxton and Cornyn favorably. Hunt's favorability came in at 39%. However, 32% of those polled said they either didn't know him or didn't have an opinion, compared to just 10% saying the same for Paxton and 11% for Cornyn.More than half of potential Democratic primary voters said they supported Crockett , while 44% said they preferred Talarico.The Texas Polling Project notes that the poll was conducted prior to Talarico's interview with Stephen Colbert, which could have brought more recognition to the state representative.Among Democrats, Crockett sports a 71% favorability, while 59% view Talarico favorably. Among Democrats, 21% said they either had a neutral opinion or no opinion on Crockett, while 36% said the same for Talarico.The Texas Polling Project noted that the number for Talarico has fallen from 60% in August 2025.The crowded Republican primary for the opportunity to replace Paxton as the state's attorney general is another race that could end in a runoff.Polling shows Rep. Chip Roy with a slight lead over state Sen. Mayes Middleton . State Sen. Joan Huffman and former assistant U.S. Attorney General Aaron Reitz were further off the pace and 8% of those polled said they'd prefer someone else.On the Democratic side, Joe Jaworski was polling at 52%, while state Sen. Nathan Johnson came in with 28% and Tony Box at 10%.Primary elections are on March 3.
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