Get the best Texas A&M vs. Texas, predictions, odds, and college football picks for Friday, November 28, 2025 as we take the Aggies spread.
Caley's prediction: Marcel Reed’s progression and A&M’s perfect record make it easy to trust the Aggies to step up against Arch Manning & Co. Texas A&M heads to Austin on Friday looking to stay unbeaten and lock up a berth in the SEC title game against Arch Manning and the rival Longhorns.
This is one of those situations where I just have to come out and say it.are at home. But have we not been watching the Longhorns all season? Yes. This is a talented roster. Except at the position where it matters the most. Sure, Manning has some OK stats, but what I see is inflated numbers against bad teams, that have been padded by a lot of YAC yards. His reads are still too slow, and he has his uncle's penchant for throwing ducks without the timing or accuracy. It’s stunning that a Texas team with this much talent ranks 87th in the country in offensive success rate. But here we are. And the recent result against Georgia wasn’t surprising for those who have been paying attention. The Longhorns probably should have lost to Kentucky and Mississippi State before escaping vs. Vanderbilt.are. A really good team. Sure. They needed an epic comeback to beat South Carolina last week. But they did it. has developed into a dynamic quarterback while the Aggies defense is one of the best in the country at pressuring opposing quarterbacks into bad decisions. As a result, Texas A&M enters this game in the Top 10 in both EPA per play and opponent EPA per play while leading the nation in sack rate. We are getting the clearly better team at less than a field goal. That’s a deal I’d take any day of the year, let alone on Black Friday. As I said, Marcel Reed has become one of the more dynamic dual-threat QBs in the country. He's thrown for 2,752 yards with 25 touchdowns while adding another 395 yards and six scores on the ground and I’m betting he does he thing through the air and on the ground in this matchup against Texas. Reed has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all but two games this season, plus you can throw on Texas a bit. The Longhorns rank 70th in success rate on dropbacks and have multiple TD passes in each of their last three games. So, adding Over 1.5 touchdown passes to this SGP at plus money feels like a no-brainer. Let’s also take Reed to go Over 26.5 rushing yards. While he’s definitely focused on becoming a better passer this season, he's still a threat to run, and this is a modest rushing total. A number he's eclipsed in eight games this season.Arch won't be effective moving the ball through the air so he'll try to make something happen on the ground. While Reed is lined up for a big day all around.I know Texas won its other big rivalry game this season. But John Mateer won’t be two weeks off a hand surgery in this one. The Aggies are a really good team, and Texas has struggled against a strong pass rush. Texas A&M pulls out the win, stays undefeated and punches its ticket to the SEC title game.I honestly don’t think this spread is giving the Aggies enough respect while simultaneously overvaluing the Longhorns. If Texas A&M does win it certainly does so by at least a field goal.I have a slight lean to the Under here as I worry how effective Texas’ offense will be in this matchup. They've played arguably five very good defensive teams this season: Georgia, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Florida and Ohio State. The Under is 4-1 in those games.Texas has only covered the Spread in five of their last 16 games for -7.10 Units and a -40% ROI. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew"Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. 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