Temporal analysis of academic performance in higher education before, during and after COVID-19 confinement using artificial intelligence

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Temporal analysis of academic performance in higher education before, during and after COVID-19 confinement using artificial intelligence
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AI study finds the habit of continuous study was more widespread during lockdown PLOSONE

The main objective of this article is to analyze the different learning strategies of students and the influence of the distribution of their autonomous study time. This work is done taking into account the effect of confinement by COVID-19. Additionally, performance prediction strategies are proposed based on the analysis carried out.

Answering research question 1, we have seen three different types of temporal profiles. We have observed that there is a group who studies continuously, another who studies at the end of the term, and the last one with very low performance in the continuous evaluation. The Low Performance group has the highest risk of failure. Results from this point are useful in order to clearly identify the three types of students and to analyze the reasons why different groups have different performance.

The first conclusion here is that it is not easy to predict wrong learning strategies with enough time to apply measures to redirect students’ habits into a more efficient way of working. We have tried to predict their performance with the whole data set and with data sets that only take into account the information obtained one month before the final exams.

The second parameter that could have a strong influence is the academic years and their differences because of the pandemic. We can confirm, however, that the predictions are still effective in the years when the pandemic hit harder. Based on our simulations, we have seen that the best results are for the prediction of 2020/2021 considering 2016/2017 and 2017/2018 being all the other results also acceptable.

The problem now is how to lead students to the same good habits that they had in the pandemic without creating the dramatic situation of the pandemic. Obviously, the only way for improving continuous studying is to use additional motivational strategies. For example, using negative reinforcement such as the obligation of sending additional tasks along the semester or including some exams periodically could work.

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