An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
** A strong tropical wave over the Eastern Atlantic has a good chance to develop while moving over the Central Atlantic....’ - that moved off the coast of Africa this past weekend and was upgraded to tropical depression #13 Tue. morning then to tropical stormTue. afternoon & then to a hurricane Wed. afternoon. The hurricane rapidly intensified Thu. becoming a Cat. 4 Thu. afternoon then a Cat. 5 later Thu. night. before steadily weakening thereafter until strengthening again late Sun.
As expected, Lee has stayed well north of the Caribbean. A veer more northwest then north is ongoing taking Lee east of the Bahamas while slowing its forward speed. The the hurricane goes far - 800-1,000 miles - to the east of Fl. this week as Lee completes its northward turn through a weakness - alleyway - over the Western Atlantic that remains well established. Lee is the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season ... the third hurricane of the Atlantic season develops - on average - Sept.
The forecast models remain in good agreement overall showing Lee not reaching Jacksonville’s latitude until mid afternoon to late Thu. while nearly 1,000 miles to the east. An easterly swell, rough seas & surf will impact our local beaches for much of this week with a high rip current risk. There’s the potential for 5-7+ foot breakers along the NE Fl. & SE Ga. coast Wed. through Fri.
As Lee rounds the western edge of the Bermuda high over the N. Atlantic, an upper level trough will move through the Central & Eastern U.S. Lee will make a turn more north & even north/northwest & accelerate later this week which then brings into “play” New England & Eastern Canada as the upper level trough moves eastward toward the NW Atlantic drawing Lee a little more northwest for a time as the tropical cyclone interacts with the trough.
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