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Talking the Tropics With Mike: Idalia over the West Atlantic while tropical storm Jose develops

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Talking the Tropics With Mike: Idalia over the West Atlantic while tropical storm Jose develops
United States Latest News,United States Headlines

An overview of what's going on in the tropics....

REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds. Realize the forecast cone is the average forecast error over a given time - out to 5 days - & *does not* indicate the width of the storm &/or where damage that might occur.

“Idalia” made landfall on the Florida Big Bend a little before 8am Wed.... moved across the far Southeast U.S. & is back over the Western Atlantic. Meanwhile...“Franklin” hit Haiti & especially the Dominican Republic with very heavy rain last Wed. The hurricane rapidly intensified to a high end Cat. 4 Monday when the storm finally found the “sweet spot” of the SW Atlantic but at least is not a threat to land. There will be some distant impacts on the U.S. east coast through Thursday with rough seas & surf & gusty winds for Bermuda where conditions will improve the next couple days. And tropical depression #11 formed Tue. morning over the Central Atlantic but will not likely be around long. The area of disturbed weather near the Yucatan - Tropical depression #10 - strengthened into tropical storm “Idalia” late Sunday morning & the third hurricane of the ‘23 Atlantic season early Tuesday... & steadily strengthened overnight into early Wed . with a peak at Cat. 4 Tue. night before making landfall early Wed. - about 7:50am - during an eyewall replacement cycle. This cycle along with friction from land helped begin a slight & slow weakening trend while moving ashore. The weakening center of Idalia reached the coast again early Thu. morning between Myrtle Beach & Charleston. Weather conditions will continue to improve for Northeast Florida & Southeast Georgia. Steering currents collapse by the weekend which allows Idalia to slow & meander over the Western Atlantic. A loop is not likely, & it appears Idalia will remain well offshore of the U.S. & should eventually get pulled northward by a passing trough of low pressure to the north.over the Northern Caribbean becoming a powerful hurricane east of the Bahamas over the SW Atlantic making the sharp turn to the north. The combination of lessening shear plus strong upper level diffluence thanks to a trough of low pressure to the north with very warm water below helped intensify Franklin to a Cat. 4 Monday. There will be some impacts for Bermuda into Wed. as the eye moves by to the west & north but not a direct hit on the island. Franklin should take a sharp enough turn to the east before turning more northward gain so as to *not* have significant direct impacts on Canada with the possible exception of some wind + rough seas & surf for far Eastern Newfoundland & Labrador.

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