An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
over the Northern Caribbean. Westerly wind shear remains quite strong, so Franklin is heavily weighted on its east side & remains generally poorly organized especially after a day spent over the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola.. A turn more to the northeast over the next day or two may help mitigate some of the shear. Furthermore...the shear should weaken some over the weekend into next week with some help from upper level diffluence thanks to a trough of low pressure well to the north.
In the meantime, other than a gusty breeze... weather conditions will improve across Haiti, Dominican Republic & Puerto Rico.is expected to develop & evolve by next week emanating from a disturbance over & near Central America. The long range forecast is highly uncertain given there’s no surface low pressure to truly track yet in addition to pretty wild swings in the forecast models.
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