Comparing the two teams' results and rankings suggest the point spread is wrong, but the oddsmakers seldom make big mistakes
Let’s take a look at the two teams that will play in the December 18 LA Bowl – Cal and UNLV -- and try to determine which team should be favored.
UNLV is 10-3 and was 6-1 in the Mountain West Conference. The Rebels are ranked No. 24 in the AP poll, the coaches poll and the College Football Playoff rankings. UNLV lost the conference championship game 21-7 to Boise State, which is ranked No. 8 in both the AP and coaches polls and No. 9 in the CFP rankings.Both teams won at home by 21 points against San Diego Stage: UNLV won 41-20, and Cal won 31-10.
Both teams lost to Syracuse at home: UNLV lost to Syracuse 44-41 in overtime after the Orange scored the tying touchdown with 23 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and Cal lost to Syracuse 33-25 when Cal scored its final touchdown with 1:01 remaining. Perhaps Cal's presence in a Power Four conference versus UNLV's membership in a Group of Five conference makes a difference to gamblers.
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