NBA predictions, picks, and odds for the Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves on 4-20. NBA Playoffs best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
The Timberwolves are the NBA's best defense, but the Suns can attack them in ways most teams wouldn't choose to. See why our NBA picks think that will be the X-factor today.
While the Wolves concede “difficult” shots, but they are precisely the ones that Phoenix is comfortable taking. Per Cleaning the Glass, the Suns take more midrange shots than any team in the NBA. Their expected field goal percentage overall ranks 28th based on that shot quality. The Wolves' defense did okay slowing down Booker and KD but did not do well against the Suns collectively. While the Wolves start strong defenders, with Beal rounding into form they have a matchup advantage in the starting lineup againstThat’s before getting to the other side of the ball, where the results have been even more surprising. The Wolves have seen their offense grind to a halt against the Suns this season.
When Ant caught the ball, if it wasn’t a straight blitz, the three nearest players to the ball all shaded toward Edwards providing gap help. He struggled to create quality shots or make good decisions against that pressure. Beal has been one lately shooting 59.6% from the field and 69.4 from three through seven April games. His ability to attack Conley is one of the pressure points I expect the Suns to pick at early and often as it keeps Edwards and McDaniels out of the action on defense.
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