Get the best WNBA picks with our free Sun vs. Liberty predictions for this May 8 battle.
The Liberty are title contenders but they'll start the season short-handed, and that gives Breanna Stewart the green light to fire away. The New York Liberty’s title defense fizzled out with a first-round playoff exit last year, but they’re back with another stacked roster as the 2026 season tips off tonight against the Connecticut Sun.
While there are still things to figure out for a New York team with Chris DeMarco taking over as head coach and no Sabrina Ionescu for the opening weeks, myaveraged fewer than 20 PPG last year for the first time since 2020. But I’m expecting Stewie to find her offense again, especially with thecan’t be in two places at once defensively, and Jones should walk into some easy rebounds in this one.
JJ began the 2025 season with 10+ boards in five of her first six outings, and the Liberty will need their veteran frontcourt to show up in this one to paper over a lengthy injury list. New York posted a 17-5 mark at Barclays Center last year, and there’s a recipe for more home cooking here against a Sun squad that finished with a 11-33 record in 2025.
While tonight’s spread feels a little inflated, the Liberty are 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and I’m backing their talent edge to get them over the line. Griner made seven of her nine shots against the Liberty in preseason action last weekend, with three of those buckets coming in the first quarter, and Connecticut’s best chance of keeping the score close is to ride its most proven scorer.
Though Griner didn’t get going in Atlanta last season, look for her 2026 numbers to mirror her final few years with the Phoenix Mercury, and that starts with steady looks in the paint. With the Liberty forced into starting lineup tweaks around Stewart and Jones, the Sun may also be able to exploit miscommunications that leave guards switched onto Griner. : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.
We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast. A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.
As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.
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