Strong US Jobs Data Shakes Markets, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Dwindle

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Strong US Jobs Data Shakes Markets, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Dwindle
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The US jobs report for December showed a surge of 256,000 jobs added, exceeding expectations and raising concerns about inflation. This strong performance has led to a sell-off in US equities and a reassessment of Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. The week ahead will see crucial economic data releases from the US, China, UK, and Australia.

Strong US Jobs Report Impacts Fed Expectations with some analysts now predicting no cuts at all. The S&P 500 experienced a sell-off, breaking below key support levels and raising concerns about further potential downside. US inflation and retail sales data will be crucial in shaping market expectations for future monetary policy. In addition to US data, the week ahead includes key economic releases from China, UK and Australia.

The highlights all come from China as markets hope the stimulus announced at the back end of 2024 may begin to transmit to the data. All data releases will be on Friday and include retail sales, industrial production and GDP data. Retail sales and industrial production will be watched closely for signs of a demand recovery which may have a knock on effect on sentiment as well as commodity linked currencies like the Australian Dollar and the South African Rand.

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