This morning, the organized area of rain and storms will move through the state, generally in the 6AM-3PM time frame. Stronger storms will be capable of producing damaging winds, hail, and some tornadoes are possible. The rain will be heavy at times ...
If the atmosphere can recover from the morning convection, additional storms could develop this afternoon and evening, but the latest model trends do not favor this re-development. However, if additional storms form later today, they could be severe with potential for hail, strong winds, and isolated tornadoes. Again, this round of storms may or may not happen and is a conditional threat only if the atmosphere recovers behind the morning convection.
For now, the SPC maintains an “enhanced risk” for parts of North and Central Alabama, including places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, Gadsden, and Huntsville. The rest of the state is in a “slight risk” . CALL TO ACTION: As always, be weather aware today and tomorrow, pay attention to warnings if they are issued. And, watch for updates since the forecast is somewhat complex. Again, this is the core of our severe weather season in Alabama, so events like this are not uncommon.
Many of you have anxiety about severe weather, especially those that have gone through tornadoes or other kinds of violent weather. Have comfort knowing that even on the biggest severe weather days, odds of any one home being hit by a tornado are very low. But, you have to pay attention and be prepared. We will get through the day together.
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