Our Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim predictions expect the favorite to have success when this fight inevitably goes to the mat.
Our Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim predictions expect the favorite to have success when this fight inevitably goes to the mat.looks to announce his arrival against the welterweight elite with a win over Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson Thompson tonight.
Bonfim is a significant -450 favorite over Thompson, and I expect him to pull away in front of the Nashville crowd. Stephen Thompson is a future UFC Hall of Famer and one of the best technical strikers ever, but at 42 years old and in a division bursting with talent, he’s relegated to a high-level gatekeeper as his vulnerability increases. This makes him the perfect opponent for Gabriel Bonfim, whose striking and grappling are both top-notch, and he's banging on the door of the welterweight elite with Thompson being the last potential hurdle. Bonfim holds all the cards against this version of Thompson. The striking is on point, and he's a black belt BJJ practitioner with four of his five UFC wins coming by submission. Even when Thompson was younger, he’d have a hard time with the grappling, and it's only getting worse when it comes down to his takedown defense, as evident in that he’s absorbed 19 takedowns in his last five fights. As long as Bonfim doesn’t give Thompson the distance for his kicks and keeps him on the back foot, he’ll win the fight. From a technical standpoint, Thompson is the superior striker, and there’s a chance his tricky footwork prevents Bonfim from advancing and limits his takedown attempts. However, his recent form suggests he’s unable to keep that pace and doesn’t have the power in his strikes to catch Bonfim with the same shot Nicholas Dalby did. Eventually, Bonfim is going to close the distance, and Thompson doesn’t have the means to fight him off. Thompson’s best chance is to try and stretch the fight out, as Bonfim’s conditioning could be in question, as he’s seldom been pushed into the third round. Once upon a time, Thompson could feasibly make that happen, but he’s outgunned and in with a finisher who specializes in getting things done on the mat. There’s a huge chance this fight gets to the ground, especially with Bonfim averaging 3.68 takedowns per fight, and Thompson has been put on the mat 19 times in his last five fights. With Bonfim’s quick hands and greater mobility, he’ll bypass Thompson’s length and have no issues getting him on the mat. With Bonfim’s fights averaging under seven minutes combined with Thompson’s inability to defend himself on the mat, Bonfim by submission is my best bet.Affiliate Disclosure : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat. Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon. Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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