South Korean exports likely shrunk for a fourth month but at a slower pace in June due to easing global virus lockdowns and more working days, yet a second wave of infection and Sino-U.S. tension were seen clouding near-term recovery, a poll showed on Monday.
Overseas sales were expected to decline 7.8% year-on-year, according to the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 12 economists. That compared with a 23.6% plunge in May and a 7.5% fall in preliminary data for the first 20 days of the month.
Many economists see the export decline slowing further from the third quarter given signs of recovery in major economies, but major downside risks still lie ahead. The poll also forecast that the country’s imports to tumble 9.6% year-on-year in June, much slower than a 21.0% plunge in the previous month.
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