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South Africa is still tabulating the votes from its national elections, but it appears at press time that the African National Congress will lose its majority for the first time since the end of apartheid in 1994.on Thursday showed the ANC slipping well under 50 percent, and possibly closer to 40 percent, although it will still come in well ahead of the opposition Democratic Alliance .
The nightmare scenario for many observers is that a weakened ANC will be obliged to make a deal with the radical EFF and itsleader Julius Malema to form a governing coalition. The EFF is on track to finish with about eight percent of the vote, enough to get the ANC over the 50 percent mark and overpower the expected 25 percent showing for the Democratic Alliance.
Zuma and his MK party, dismissed by some observers as a sideshow because Zuma has been jailed for corruption and was notto run in the election until last month, ended up doing almost as well as the EFF – and maybe even a little better, as MK wasMK did especially well in Zuma’s homeland of KwaZulu-Natal – well enough to where the ANC might not be the biggest party in the province when the dust settles.
Preliminary estimates showed the DA and EFF pulling almost the same share of the vote they received in 2019, suggesting all of the ANC’s losses were gobbled up by small parties and boutique candidates. This also gives the ANC a smorgasbord of parties it can tap for a ruling coalition without bringing Malenga or Zuma into the fold.
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