APRIL 15 — Now that the Covid-19 pandemic curve has flattened, thanks to the effective implementation of the movement control order (MCO) with its concomitant social distancing measures, the key to ensure the elimination of the virus from our nation is the inculcation of a sense of heightened...
Wednesday, 15 Apr 2020 09:52 AM MYT
When the observance of the MCO culture becomes the salient feature of the third phase of the MCO which starts today, the result — a second phase of flattening of the curve to its floor will occur, which will lead to zero infection as shown by the diagram. For the record, as of yesterday Malaysia’s total infection is 4,987. Today, most likely it will cross the 5,000 mark but it is still a far cry from the 6,300 predicted by JP Morgan and the WHO.
What this means is during the first MCO , the curve has flattened already despite the many infringements by the rakyat on the MCOs. It was good that the government still continues to extend the MCO because this will make the curve continue to plateau instead of going up.
In fact, no country, even the advanced ones, has produced a test kit on Covid-19 that could yield accurate result within 24 hours.The question now is when will it go up? Basing on statistics alone, it will go up if in the coming days and weeks, the daily infection figure exceeds the current peak which is 235 cases on 26 March. This will be the case when in the third phase of the MCOs, the people still continue to violate MCO measures.
With the occurrence of the second phase of the flattening of the curve, which some experts say will come about in mid-May, perhaps then it is time to lift the MCOs in mid-May. But wait a minute, what about if people straightaway become complacent and put down the drain all the MCO culture they have so patiently observed during the MCO?
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