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Districts 45 and 47 are two of SoCal’s key seats that remain undecided. District 27, a longtime Democratic stronghold that flipped red in 2020, turned back blue when the Republican incumbent conceded Monday night.
In the two races still to be called, Democrats so far seem to be creeping up. The districts have fairly split bases that are only separated by about four percentage points, so the ultimate outcome could go either way.Tight races can happen in every election, but are especially common in swing seats. We’ve had numerous close calls in local races, federal ones and propositions — some of which have to be decided through a recount., our pop-up newsletter on the 2024 election. If you want updates on election results and what they mean for your life,in California so far have less than a 2% difference between first and second place and between “yes” and “no” votes for ballot measures.In District 45, a key swing seat, Republican Rep. Michelle Steel’s lead shrunk Monday evening to 50.7% over Democrat Derek Tran’s 49.3%. Steel’s win appeared solid in the early counts after Election Day, but Tran has been inching up consistently as votes drop.37.07% Democrat and 33.05% Republican. Unsurprisingly, L.A. votes have so far favored Tran, while a majority of O.C.’s have gone to Steel. If the trajectory of votes over time continues on its current path, the district could flip blue. That would be a blow to House Republicans who have largely viewed it as a safe seat since it was created through redistricting after the 1980 census. In O.C.’s District 47, Democrat Dave Min has maintained a small edge over Republican Scott Baugh since taking the lead Friday. The gap grew slightly Monday evening to 3,214 votes. This is for the seat where Porter chose not to run for reelection, instead trying to win as U.S. senator. The tight race is the unmistakable mark of apurple district — which has left-leaning Irvine and right-leaning Huntington Beach. Voter registration is nearly split in two: 38.83% of registered voters are Democrats and 34.87% are Republicans., saying he will ensure a smooth handoff to Democratic challenger George Whitesides, a former CEO of Virgin Galactic. Garcia thanked his constituents for allowing him to represent them during what he called a “tumultuous” and “critical” period.for fueling his campaign’s success. His win gives Democrats a much-needed leg up in their House efforts. It was a Democratic stronghold for more than 20 years before Garcia took office.in a stunning conclusion that same year. The district mostly covers rural Antelope Valley and parts of the San Fernando Valley, with The exit came after Whitesides pulled ahead Saturday with a lead that grew to 6,983 votes by Monday evening.These close races aren’t our first rodeo We’ve experienced close calls with the not-so-supernatural at local and state levels. Margins can even be as small as aclose call in one of her previous campaigns for the seat. She became a supervisor in 2007 after a recount confirmed a margin ofKeep in mind, a gap of a couple thousand votes may seem small but that’s typical in certain city elections. That kind of margin can be much tighter for federal district races with hundreds of thousands of voters. Overall, it’s quite rare for a recount to make a dramatic difference, but that doesn’t stop candidates or voters from checking in. There’s no hard-and-fast rule for when, but a couple of close races could fall into the usual recount territory if things are very close.a recount for any contest as long as they pay for it . For most races, this has to be done within five days after the election is officially certified . For
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