Senate map tightens as top forecaster moves 3 races toward Democrats

Midterm Elections News

Senate map tightens as top forecaster moves 3 races toward Democrats
Republicans, Kirsten Gillibrand, Democrats Elections

Sabato's Crystal Ball shifts three Senate races toward Democrats, saying they have a clearer path to winning the majority in the midterm elections.

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Tim Scott of South Carolina speaks exclusively with Fox News Digital about the GOP’s chances in the midterm elections.toward the Democrats on Thursday and predicted that with just under five months to go until the midterm elections, the Democrats have a"clearer path to winning the Senate majority.

" But Sabato's Crystal Ball at the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia adds that despite the shifts,"we still favor Republicans in the overall race for the Senate. " Republicans currently control the Senate 53-47 but are battling stiff political headwinds, as the party in power in the nation's capital traditionally loses seats in the midterms.

The GOP also faces a rough political climate fueled by economic concerns amid persistent inflation, as well as rising gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and PresidentThe Senate side of the U.S. Capitol is shown on Jan. 12, 2026. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the chamber.from toss-up to lean Democrat. Former two-term Democratic Gov.

Roy Cooper is facing off against former Republican National Committee Chair Mike Whatley in the race to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis. , where GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan is expected to face off against former Democratic Rep.

Mary Peltola, from lean Republican to toss-up. , where appointed GOP Sen. Jon Husted is being challenged by former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, it shifted the rating from lean Republican to toss up.

Republican Sen. Jon Husted and former longtime Sen. Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, will face off in a highly anticipated U.S. Senate race in Ohio in November. The movement toward the Democrats in the Ohio race comes a week after a Fox News poll indicated Brown currently up by eight points, 53%-45%, over Husted.

Democrats need a net gain pickup of four seats in the midterms to win back control of the Senate they lost in the 2024 elections. Pointing to the four races it now considers toss-ups, Sabato's Crystal Ball said"there are now enough Toss-up races to give Democrats a clearer path to winning the Senate majority... But Republicans can block Democrats by winning just one of the Toss-ups, meaning that they’re still better-positioned to hold the majority.

" The ratings shift by Sabato's Crystal Ball comes a month after another top nonpartisan political handicapper, the Cook Report, moved its rankings of four key Senate races in favor of the Democrats. Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chair Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, is optimistic that Democrats can flip the chamber. Gillibrand told Fox News Digital earlier this year she sees"all the makings of a blue wave.

" Gillibrand's rival, National Republican Senatorial Committee chair Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, acknowledged in a Fox News Digital interview earlier this year that"there's no doubt the climate has gotten more and more difficult.

"And NRSC National Press Secretary Bernadette Breslin told Fox News Digital on Thursday that"no battleground races can be taken for granted. While Democrat candidates lurch further left to appease their radical base, Republicans are staying focused on lowering costs, investing in American workers, and doing the work required to defend the majority.

" Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast. "

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