The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted the race from being “lean Democrat” to a “toss-up,' pointing to President Joe Biden’s lagging popularity.
shifted the race from being “lean Democrat” to a “toss-up” on Wednesday, pointing to President Joe Biden’s lagging popularity in the battleground state and the new electorate that has emerged over the last few years. The group particularly cited Sen. Jacky Rosen’s lack of an “established brand,” noting that it could make it more difficult for the Nevada Democrat to overcome Biden’s unpopularity on her own.
“Ultimately we are moving this race because of the unique forces at play in Nevada,” said Jessica Taylor, an editor for the. “A combination of a newer electorate that Rosen must win over, Biden’s lagging numbers, and the unique post-COVID economic hangover in Nevada make this race a toss-up.”in the Silver State, raising concerns among Democrats about how the president could affect other party candidates running in the state.
With the recent shift, Nevada is the fourth state to be deemed a toss-up in the 2024 cycle. That puts Democrats in a tough position as each of those seats is currently held by a Democrat or an independent who caucuses with Democrats.Democrats hold a 51-49 majority in the Senate, with the advantage of having Vice President Kamala Harris as a tiebreaker vote if needed. As a result, Republicans only need to flip one Senate seat to win the majority should they win back the White House in 2024.
There are 34 Senate seats up for grabs in the 2024 election cycle. Of those, Democrats must defend 23, compared to just 11 for Republicans — and nearly all competitive seats are held by Democrats, putting them on the defensive as they try to maintain their slim majority.
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