Seasonality and Historical Fourth Quarter Performance of U.S Equities: S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100

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Seasonality and Historical Fourth Quarter Performance of U.S Equities: S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100
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Q4 is now well and truly underway. I thought we could take a look at seasonality and historic performance of US equity markets in Q4 and what insights we might be able to learn from the past.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.Oct 5, 20232023-10-05 06:30:00IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.70%, while traders in USD/JPY are...Seasonality is Not a Standalone Indicator but Can Provide Valuable Insights When Used in Conjunction with Other Market Indicators.

Seasonality is a statistical pattern where certain time periods are associated with particular market behavior. This could be due to various factors such as tax considerations, the release of economic reports, corporate earnings announcements, and even psychological factors related to investor behavior.

Seasonality is not a standalone indicator, but it can provide valuable insights when used in conjunction with other market indicators and analysis tools. Understanding seasonality can help investors fine-tune their investment strategies, manage risk, and potentially enhance returns.US Equities had been enjoying an excellent first half to 2023 with the SPX up about 19.5% to the end of July. In the two months that followed however, the S&P recorded losses of around 6.

Looking for the best trade ideas for Q4? Look no further and download your complimentary guide courtesy of the DailyFX team of Analysts and Strategists.The best fourth quarter during this time frame was in 2020, when the S&P 500 had a return of nearly 11.7%, driven by positive news on the vaccine front and a strong rebound from the, when the S&P 500 fell by approximately 22.6%. The standard deviation, a measure of the dispersion or volatility, was around 8.

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